Thursday, July 16, 2009

I knew I was being too optimistic--

From Juan Cole:

The blogosphere is also making far to much of a fatwa or religious ruling by Grand Ayatollah Hosain Ali Montazeri in answer to the questions of reformist theologian Mohsen Kadivar. ( English text here.

It is being alleged that Montazeri is saying that the Iranian regime is illegitimate, which he is not. He is implying that if Ahmadinejad stole the election by foul means, then his presidency is illegitimate. That is just a self-evident conclusion.

Also, it is being alleged that Montazeri is foremost among the grand ayatollahs, which he is not. On the Iranian scene he has been effectively marginalized by the regime. It is well known that he is on the outs with Khamenei, who put him under house arrest for five years in response to his questioning of the Khomeinist doctrine that the clerics must rule. His fatwa is therefore to be expected and will not cause any surprise or make any special waves in Iran. (It may result in a renewal of his house arrest).


(Note to self--don't romanticize other countries' movements because you....aren't them.)

I'm still interested in what Rafsanjani has to say, however, at Friday prayers. I'm looking to see who, besides Mousavi, but within the clerical establishment, provides a dissenting voice.

I didn't say I was going to stop being optimistic.

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